Predictive Anomaly Detection

Know about the outage
4 hours before it happens

Nova's ML models learn your system's normal behavior, across every metric, service, and time-of-day pattern, and detect deviations while they're still recoverable. Stop reacting to outages. Start preventing them.

Start Free Trial Watch Demo
app.novaaiops.com · Anomaly Detection
● LIVE
Nova AI Predictive Anomaly Detection
4hr
Early warning before user impact
99.2%
Detection accuracy
<5min
Mean time to detect (MTTD)
ML-powered
Baseline learning, no thresholds
ML-Based Baseline Learning

No manual thresholds. Ever.

Static alert thresholds break the moment your traffic pattern changes, Black Friday, a marketing campaign, a new release. Nova's ML models continuously learn what "normal" looks like for each service, each metric, and each hour of the week. A Tuesday at 3pm has a different baseline than a Friday at 6pm, and Nova knows the difference.

  • Seasonality-aware models: daily, weekly, and release-cycle patterns are all accounted for automatically
  • Deployment-aware learning: new deployments trigger a brief re-learning window so post-deploy changes aren't false positives
  • Per-metric sensitivity: error rates get tighter bands than background CPU; tune sensitivity globally or per-service
app.novaaiops.com · Baseline Learning
ML baseline learning
Predictive Forecasting & Trend Analysis

See the disk filling up before it's a problem: not after

Nova projects forward-looking forecasts for capacity-related metrics: disk utilization, memory, connection pool usage, and queue depth. When Nova predicts disk will hit 95% in 6 hours, you get the early warning now, with time to either clean up data or provision capacity before any user notices.

  • Capacity forecasting: disk, memory, and CPU trends extrapolated up to 72 hours ahead
  • SLO burn rate prediction: forecast whether your error budget will be exhausted before the period ends
  • Traffic spike warnings: detect unusual traffic growth trajectories before they saturate resources
app.novaaiops.com · Predictive Forecasts
Predictive forecasting
Multi-Dimensional Anomaly Scoring

Not just "something looks weird." Here's exactly how weird, and why.

Nova scores every anomaly on a 0–100 confidence scale across multiple dimensions simultaneously: magnitude of deviation, rate of change, duration, and blast radius. A latency spike that's also accompanied by error rate increases and drops in throughput scores much higher than an isolated CPU blip on a non-critical host.

  • Composite anomaly scores: correlated signals across metrics, logs, and traces weighted into a single score
  • Blast radius estimation: anomaly score automatically factors in how many downstream services are at risk
  • Historical comparison "similar anomalies happened 3 times before, here's what caused them each time"
app.novaaiops.com · Anomaly Scoring
Multi-dimensional anomaly scoring
Early Warning System

Context-rich warnings that tell you what to do, not just that something changed

Early warnings from Nova include everything your engineer needs to act: the affected service, the metric that deviated, the predicted trajectory, similar past incidents with their resolutions, and a suggested runbook. Engineers don't spend time figuring out what they're looking at, they spend time fixing it.

  • Pre-attached context: every warning ships with correlated logs, traces, and a service dependency map
  • Similar incident lookup: Nova surfaces the 3 most similar past incidents and how they were resolved
  • Runbook pre-selection: the most likely-applicable runbook is auto-selected before the engineer even opens the alert
app.novaaiops.com · Early Warnings
Early warning system with context

Detect your next outage 4 hours early

ML-powered baseline learning that adapts to your traffic patterns. No manual threshold tuning required.

Start Free Trial Request a Demo